Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.258346 0.352175 0.456568 0.579152 0.717224 0.866275 1.037787
2025-07-20 0.144204 0.265354 0.418329 0.614673 0.851236 1.120107 1.442604
2025-07-27 0.102238 0.237225 0.423218 0.674777 0.988839 1.354869 1.802335
2025-08-03 0.067885 0.206679 0.416343 0.714086 1.097409 1.553474 2.119483
2025-08-10 0.037739 0.168381 0.389337 0.719968 1.158896 1.691500 2.361793
2025-08-17 0.011750 0.116792 0.330712 0.674542 1.148904 1.738187 2.491871
2025-08-24 0.000749 0.074493 0.274136 0.623068 1.124448 1.762086 2.590401
2025-08-31 NaN 0.051538 0.243886 0.605222 1.141123 1.834610 2.745597
2025-09-07 NaN 0.039420 0.231271 0.612396 1.190587 1.947809 2.950047
2025-09-14 NaN 0.026906 0.211975 0.605842 1.219014 2.032746 3.118627
2025-09-21 NaN 0.015683 0.188469 0.588748 1.230281 2.093953 3.256545
2025-09-28 NaN 0.013764 0.193618 0.622064 1.314924 2.251729 3.516023
2025-10-05 NaN 0.012513 0.202040 0.664008 1.416440 2.437264 3.817744
2025-10-12 NaN 0.010679 0.207362 0.700699 1.511226 2.615373 4.112150
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012094 0.227552 0.765433 1.647896 2.849243 4.477145
2025-10-26 NaN 0.010999 0.235652 0.807296 1.750473 3.037880 4.785125
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006894 0.225570 0.813604 1.799206 3.154320 5.001289
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001308 0.189449 0.765091 1.762643 3.154795 5.068626
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.153341 0.710010 1.712334 3.134224 5.107059
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.135654 0.690879 1.716327 3.186276 5.237607
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.130121 0.698571 1.762853 3.296828 5.443923
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.119055 0.691544 1.784840 3.372947 5.605218
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.104424 0.673203 1.787172 3.420990 5.729420